Middle East M&A gains momentum going into the end of the year

Year-to-date total of 55 deals valued at $26.6 billion
Biggest regional deal was National Bank of Abu Dhabi acquisition of First Gulf Bank
Financial Services, Transport and Consumer were leading sectors
Middle East M&A activity has overtaken Mergermarket annual records since 2001

Mergermarket, the leading global provider of M&A intelligence, has highlighted dramatic year-to-date growth in M&A deal value targeting the Middle East. With 55 deals worth $26.6 billion announced, deal value has increased 238.1% compared to the same period in 2015 (54 deals, $7.9 billion), while deal count has remained consistent. The latest data has been released ahead of the Saudi Arabia M&A and Capital Markets Forum, to be held in Riyadh on 16th November.

Deal value was highly influenced by the largest transaction in the region so far this year – National Bank of Abu Dhabi PJSC’s (NBAD) $14.8 billion acquisition of UAE-based First Gulf Bank (FGB) – accounting for 55.6% of the Middle East’s total M&A value, and pushing the Financial Services sector to the top of the industry rankings (six deals totalling $15.5 billion). The deal will come into effect in Q1 2017 through a share swap with FGB shareholders receiving 1.254 NBAD shares for each FGB share they hold. At that point, FGB will be delisted from the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange. Even without taking this deal into account, Middle Eastern M&A activity (54 deals, US$ 11.8bn) would still have registered a 49.5% value increase year-on-year.

Deal-making in Energy, Mining and Utilities experienced a clear drop in activity from 2015, with the sector’s share of the M&A market falling from 60.1% to just 5.4% ($4.7 billion to $1.4 billion) year-to-date. Meanwhile the Transport and Consumer sectors saw increased deal values compared to the previous year. This trend was driven by German-based Hapag-Lloyd AG’s acquisition of United Arab Shipping Company SAG for $5.4 billion, which helped boost the Transport sector’s share to 20.6% ($5.5 billion). Nine deals in the Consumer sector contributed to a total value of $3.5 billion, up from just $175 million in 2015.

Ruth McKee Al Ghamdi, Head of MENA at Mergermarket, commented:

“Despite the drop in M&A in the historically strong Energy sector due to current political uncertainties in the region and relatively low oil prices, the deal pipeline looks strong going into the end of the year. There are even early indications that deal-making for the year will end stronger than in 2015, in part due to a couple of large transactions. Given the global context for M&A so far this year, this is no mean feat.”

Phil Gandier, MENA Transaction Advisory Services Leader, at EY, commented:
“We remain cautiously optimistic that the market will gain momentum with the positive news on the Saudi bond sale and potential bottoming of oil prices. The majority of MENA companies surveyed (67%) in EY’s latest Capital Confidence Barometer, still have five or more deals in their pipeline, which indicates potential latent deal activity.”
Mergermarket’s upcoming Saudi Arabia Forum will address the market’s most important deal drivers, as well as looking ahead to key investment trends likely to be experienced in the coming year. Capital Markets and M&A professionals from the Middle East’s leading corporates, investment banks, private equity funds and financial & legal advisory firms will participate in panels, presentations, case studies and open Q&A sessions. The Forum will take place at the Ritz Carlton, Riyadh.